Singapore not a model for post-Brexit Britain, forum told
SINGAPORE: Singapore is not an appropriate model for the UK as it seeks
to find a post-Brexit economic path, according to the prime minister of
the Southeast Asian island state.
Lee Hsien Loong told the Bloomberg New Economy Forum that Britain “would
have to find a different way to prosper having made the decision to
leave the European Union.” Some UK politicians have argued that a
Singapore-type model — a small trading hub unaligned to major power
blocs — would be a possible economic template for the UK, which voted
two years ago to leave the EU and is currently negotiating the terms of
its exit.
“Maybe if you look at Singapore, you might think you have some ideas
that you can use, we hope so. But I don’t think you can take one
society’s solution and just plonk it on a different society.”
Singapore left the Malaysian Federation soon after it got independence
from the UK in the 1960s, but became a major trading and financial hub
in Southeast Asia.
But such a role for Britain would require big sacrifices of the UK’s developed system of state benefit, Long argued.
“Britain has developed a system of state welfare, a government role
where the state accounts for 45 percent of the gross domestic product.
The Singapore government accounts for maybe 17 percent of the GDP. So to
be like Singapore, are you going to give up two thirds of your
government spending, state pensions and national health?” Loong asked.
Singapore has no immediate plans for a closer relationship with post-Brexit UK, he added.
Global trading relationships have been the main theme of the two-day
forum. Hank Paulson, former US treasury secretary and one of the
co-chairs of the event, said that there was the risk of an: “economic
iron curtain” coming between the US and China if they could not find a
way to resolve their economic differences, which have threatened to
erupt into a full-blown trade war over US imports from the Asian
economic giant.
“The prospect of an economic iron curtain that throws up new walls on
each side and unmakes the global economy, as we have known it, is very
real,” Paulson told the forum.
Pauson said that President Trump should consider rejoining the Trans
Pacific Partrnership, the trading alliance from which he withdrew soon
after entering the White House, in order to influence Beijing economic
policy.
Even if the US and China reached a deal on the commercial dispute
between them, there was still the risk of a major confrontation between
them due to differing geo-strategic interests, he said.
But he added that China was not a real enemy of the US. “China does not
pose an existential threat to American civilization,” he said.
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